All your compliments and your cutting remarks are captured here in my quotation marks. "Everyday I Write the Book" - Elvis Costello
East Carolina Pirates
57 – 59
FINAL Conference
Temple Owls
American Conference · Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum · December 29, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread ECU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money ECU -120 / TEM +125
Model Predictions
Spread Total ECU win
Actual TEM +2 116 Lost
Massey ECU -4.5 (-6.5) — —
Massey Totals — 139.7 (-23.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 88% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 87% ✗
Baseline Plus ML ECU -3.9 (-5.9) 138.0 (-22.0) 70% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ECU -3.6 (-5.6) 137.9 (-21.9) 67% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML ECU -4.1 (-6.1) 139.9 (-23.9) 71% ✗
Baseline ML ECU -3.9 (-5.9) 139.1 (-23.1) 68% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 TEM 81 – 73 ECU
Jan 8, 2026 TEM 75 – 67 ECU
Feb 1, 2025 TEM 98 – 94 ECU
Jan 9, 2025 ECU 80 – 79 TEM
Jan 28, 2024 ECU 70 – 64 TEM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ECU TEM
Overall 16-17 16-16
Conference 6-12 10-8
Home 10-6 9-7
Away 2-9 5-6
Neutral 4-2 2-3
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 68.8 69.6
Avg Pts Against 70.5 70.2
Massey -1.0 (#191) -0.7 (#180)
Bradley-Terry 0.59 (#121) -0.52 (#226)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.55 (#133) -0.38 (#202)
RPI 0.513 (#156) 0.492 (#194)
Shooting & Four Factors ECU TEM
FG% 43.0% 43.3%
3PT% 32.5% 33.3%
REB / G 37.8 33.6
OREB / G 12.4 9.2
AST / TO 1.08 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 50.4%
TOV% 19.0% 20.0%
ORB% 34.9% 27.6%
FT Rate 26.4% 25.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.7% 48.8%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 17.5%
DRB% 71.6% 68.6%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 19.9%

Game Analysis

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