Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB -400 CHSO +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +20 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -12.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -7.8 (+12.2) | 136.0 (+10.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -9.4 (+10.6) | 137.3 (+8.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -8.4 (+11.6) | 135.3 (+10.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -8.7 (+11.3) | 137.0 (+9.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | CHSO 75 – 66 GWEB |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CHSO 89 – 79 GWEB |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CHSO 79 – 72 GWEB |
| Jan 2, 2025 | CHSO 72 – 63 GWEB |
| Feb 15, 2024 | GWEB 85 – 77 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#158) | -6.4 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#243) | -1.56 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#252) | -1.92 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#268) | 0.430 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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