Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -500 RID +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +6 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -9.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -8.3 (-2.3) | 135.5 (+14.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -7.4 (-1.4) | 136.7 (+13.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -8.9 (-2.9) | 135.4 (+14.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -8.8 (-2.8) | 134.9 (+15.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#133) | -2.4 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#112) | -0.78 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#99) | -0.90 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#118) | 0.439 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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