Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | NEV -110 BOIS +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -3.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -1.8 (+0.2) | 134.9 (+11.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -1.5 (+0.5) | 133.6 (+12.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -2.4 (-0.4) | 132.7 (+13.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -2.8 (-0.8) | 133.3 (+12.7) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | BOIS 91 – 87 NEV |
| Dec 21, 2025 | NEV 81 – 66 BOIS |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BOIS 70 – 69 NEV |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BOIS 66 – 56 NEV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | NEV 76 – 66 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#68) | 8.7 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#45) | 1.46 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#62) | 2.21 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#25) | 0.552 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 34.0% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 42.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 78.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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