Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -278 NEV +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +4 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -4.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+28.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -3.4 (+0.6) | 145.7 (+32.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -4.2 (-0.2) | 142.3 (+35.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -3.6 (+0.4) | 145.0 (+33.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -3.9 (+0.1) | 145.6 (+32.4) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | NEV 81 – 66 BOIS |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BOIS 70 – 69 NEV |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BOIS 66 – 56 NEV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | NEV 76 – 66 BOIS |
| Jan 13, 2024 | BOIS 64 – 56 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 17-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#57) | 9.3 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#67) | 1.70 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#71) | 2.18 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#54) | 0.592 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 33.0% | 34.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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