Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | NEV -278 BOIS +222 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +8 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | NEV -6.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -5.9 (-13.9) | 137.6 (-17.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -6.7 (-14.7) | 137.4 (-17.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -6.4 (-14.4) | 137.4 (-17.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -5.8 (-13.8) | 137.1 (-17.1) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | BOIS 91 – 87 NEV |
| Dec 21, 2025 | NEV 81 – 66 BOIS |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BOIS 70 – 69 NEV |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BOIS 66 – 56 NEV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | NEV 76 – 66 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-3 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#38) | 8.9 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#12) | 1.71 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#18) | 2.12 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#19) | 0.597 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 35.0% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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