Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | NEV -110 BOIS -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +1 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -0.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -0.9 (-1.9) | 133.8 (+5.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -1.0 (-2.0) | 137.8 (+1.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -1.0 (-2.0) | 139.1 (-0.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -0.8 (-1.8) | 137.1 (+1.9) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | BOIS 91 – 87 NEV |
| Dec 21, 2025 | NEV 81 – 66 BOIS |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BOIS 66 – 56 NEV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | NEV 76 – 66 BOIS |
| Jan 13, 2024 | BOIS 64 – 56 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#73) | 11.9 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#94) | 1.74 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#83) | 2.34 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#115) | 0.570 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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