Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -250 NEV +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +10 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -4.3 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -4.0 (-14.0) | 140.8 (+1.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -4.4 (-14.4) | 138.2 (+3.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -3.4 (-13.4) | 141.3 (+0.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -3.3 (-13.3) | 143.2 (-1.2) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | BOIS 91 – 87 NEV |
| Dec 21, 2025 | NEV 81 – 66 BOIS |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BOIS 70 – 69 NEV |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BOIS 66 – 56 NEV |
| Jan 13, 2024 | BOIS 64 – 56 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#34) | 11.3 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#29) | 2.45 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#38) | 2.82 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#23) | 0.594 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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