Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | NEV +136 BOIS -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +15 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -3.8 (+18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -1.7 (+16.7) | 142.2 (+4.8) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -1.4 (+16.4) | 141.7 (+5.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -0.7 (+15.7) | 140.6 (+6.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -1.0 (+16.0) | 140.7 (+6.3) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | BOIS 91 – 87 NEV |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BOIS 70 – 69 NEV |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BOIS 66 – 56 NEV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | NEV 76 – 66 BOIS |
| Jan 13, 2024 | BOIS 64 – 56 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 17-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#108) | 12.8 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#84) | 2.74 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#82) | 3.62 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#50) | 0.651 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 34.7% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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