Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | BEL +110 BRAD -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +3 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -2.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -1.5 (+4.5) | 138.3 (-15.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -0.2 (+2.8) | 134.6 (-11.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -1.1 (+4.1) | 138.4 (-15.4) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -1.3 (+4.3) | 139.7 (-16.7) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | BRAD 95 – 84 BEL |
| Jan 2, 2026 | BEL 88 – 78 BRAD |
| Feb 6, 2025 | BEL 80 – 77 BRAD |
| Jan 22, 2025 | BRAD 89 – 77 BEL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | BRAD 95 – 72 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 16-4 |
| Home | 12-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 7-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#151) | 8.0 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#148) | 1.39 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#176) | 1.70 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#146) | 0.551 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 41.5% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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