← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
10–1 on winners
spread MAE 7.3
11 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Northwestern State
@
Texas A&M
|
+11.2 | 146.3 | 86% | 52–64 | ✓ |
Jacksonville
@
Notre Dame
|
+3.7 | 125.7 | 58% | 43–59 | ✓ |
East Texas A&M
@
Texas
|
+23.6 | 144.9 | 90% | 72–97 | ✓ |
Seton Hall
@
Marquette
|
+9.2 | 143.9 | 80% | 69–83 | ✓ |
South Carolina State
@
Texas Tech
|
+26.7 | 156.8 | 91% | 71–110 | ✓ |
Maryland Eastern Shore
@
Columbia
|
+0.1 | 138.1 | 39% | 74–67 | ✗ |
Tennessee
@
Ole Miss
|
-10.3 | 127.0 | 16% | 63–59 | ✓ |
Central Arkansas
@
TCU
|
+22.4 | 152.7 | 90% | 57–103 | ✓ |
UNC Wilmington
@
Monmouth
|
-11.5 | 133.6 | 13% | 68–55 | ✓ |
UAlbany
@
Virginia
|
+22.2 | 127.0 | 90% | 46–66 | ✓ |
Villanova
@
UConn
|
+15.6 | 138.9 | 89% | 66–74 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.