Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +4 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -11.2 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -9.1 (+5.1) | 128.8 (-6.8) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -10.3 (+6.3) | 127.0 (-5.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -10.6 (+6.6) | 128.7 (-6.7) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -9.8 (+5.8) | 129.2 (-7.2) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | TENN 84 – 66 MISS |
| Mar 6, 2025 | MISS 78 – 76 TENN |
| Jan 6, 2024 | TENN 90 – 64 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | TENN 70 – 55 MISS |
| Jan 6, 2022 | TENN 66 – 60 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-10 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 57.9 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#92) | 21.1 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#102) | 3.10 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#81) | 3.91 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#77) | 0.637 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 41.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 15.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 39.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 37.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 26.4% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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