Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Under |
| Money | TENN -700 MISS +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +15 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -15.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -15.2 (-0.2) | 131.6 (-6.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | TENN -14.2 (+0.8) | 128.1 (-3.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | TENN -15.3 (-0.3) | 130.1 (-5.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -15.9 (-0.9) | 130.8 (-5.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | TENN 84 – 66 MISS |
| Mar 6, 2025 | MISS 78 – 76 TENN |
| Jan 6, 2024 | TENN 90 – 64 MISS |
| Dec 28, 2022 | TENN 63 – 59 MISS |
| Jan 6, 2022 | TENN 66 – 60 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-10 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.9 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 19.4 (#3) | 3.9 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#20) | 0.20 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#17) | 0.57 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#15) | 0.500 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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