Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | MISS +120 TENN -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -3.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -1.7 (+3.7) | 137.3 (+16.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -2.2 (+4.2) | 139.1 (+14.9) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -1.1 (+3.1) | 139.8 (+14.2) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -1.7 (+3.7) | 138.6 (+15.4) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | TENN 84 – 66 MISS |
| Jan 6, 2024 | TENN 90 – 64 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | TENN 70 – 55 MISS |
| Dec 28, 2022 | TENN 63 – 59 MISS |
| Jan 6, 2022 | TENN 66 – 60 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 30-8 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 63.1 |
| Massey | 15.2 (#30) | 21.9 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#11) | 4.22 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.09 (#10) | 5.29 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#20) | 0.653 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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