Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -1000 MISS +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +18 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -13.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -11.3 (+6.7) | 139.9 (+10.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -13.0 (+5.0) | 143.0 (+7.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -10.9 (+7.1) | 143.3 (+6.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -11.6 (+6.4) | 141.2 (+8.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2025 | MISS 78 – 76 TENN |
| Jan 6, 2024 | TENN 90 – 64 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | TENN 70 – 55 MISS |
| Dec 28, 2022 | TENN 63 – 59 MISS |
| Jan 6, 2022 | TENN 66 – 60 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 7-9 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 18.6 (#20) | 8.2 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#22) | 1.16 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.05 (#21) | 1.53 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#32) | 0.531 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 43.1 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 15.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 45.0% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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