Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -17.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -1700 MISS +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +6 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -20.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -17.2 (-11.2) | 136.3 (-10.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -15.0 (-9.0) | 136.9 (-10.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -16.7 (-10.7) | 139.2 (-13.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -17.8 (-11.8) | 135.7 (-9.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | TENN 84 – 66 MISS |
| Mar 6, 2025 | MISS 78 – 76 TENN |
| Jan 6, 2024 | TENN 90 – 64 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | TENN 70 – 55 MISS |
| Dec 28, 2022 | TENN 63 – 59 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 16-0 | 10-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 18.3 (#8) | 1.8 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#32) | 0.39 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.42 (#29) | 0.60 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#33) | 0.484 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.7% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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