Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | TENN -650 MISS +460 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +26 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -15.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -13.2 (+12.8) | 140.2 (+13.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -13.1 (+12.9) | 144.0 (+10.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -11.8 (+14.2) | 142.7 (+11.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -11.4 (+14.6) | 141.6 (+12.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | TENN 84 – 66 MISS |
| Mar 6, 2025 | MISS 78 – 76 TENN |
| Mar 9, 2023 | TENN 70 – 55 MISS |
| Dec 28, 2022 | TENN 63 – 59 MISS |
| Jan 6, 2022 | TENN 66 – 60 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#11) | 6.0 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.22 (#12) | 4.11 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.32 (#9) | 5.14 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.658 (#9) | 0.623 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 40.3% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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