Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +12 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -10.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-35.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -11.2 (+0.8) | 146.3 (-30.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -8.2 (+3.8) | 149.2 (-33.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -7.9 (+4.1) | 150.2 (-34.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -7.0 (+5.0) | 149.4 (-33.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 4, 2025 | TA&M 98 – 68 NWST |
| Dec 21, 2021 | TA&M 80 – 61 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#101) | -1.4 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#165) | 1.50 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#139) | 1.06 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#164) | 0.580 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 33.8% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.2% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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