Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -25.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +19 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -25.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -21.5 (-2.5) | 146.6 (-5.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -21.7 (-2.7) | 146.6 (-5.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -25.7 (-6.7) | 144.9 (-3.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -25.3 (-6.3) | 146.7 (-5.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 4, 2025 | TA&M 98 – 68 NWST |
| Dec 28, 2022 | TA&M 64 – 52 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-13 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-9 |
| Home | 16-4 | 6-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 82.6 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#77) | -14.4 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#51) | -2.62 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#53) | -3.50 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#70) | 0.455 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 13.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.9% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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