Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | MARQ -300 HALL +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -10.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -9.7 (+4.3) | 142.9 (+9.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -9.2 (+4.8) | 143.9 (+8.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -9.0 (+5.0) | 145.4 (+6.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -8.7 (+5.3) | 145.2 (+6.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | HALL 69 – 64 MARQ |
| Dec 31, 2025 | HALL 79 – 73 MARQ |
| Feb 19, 2025 | MARQ 80 – 56 HALL |
| Jan 22, 2025 | MARQ 76 – 59 HALL |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MARQ 75 – 57 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-7 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 10-10 |
| Home | 16-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 65.4 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#23) | 6.7 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#51) | 0.47 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#46) | 0.17 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#60) | 0.553 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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