Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | QUC -300 APSU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +4 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -14.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -8.7 (-4.7) | 137.9 (+20.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -10.2 (-6.2) | 137.4 (+20.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -9.5 (-5.5) | 139.6 (+18.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -9.8 (-5.8) | 140.2 (+17.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | QUC 90 – 83 APSU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | APSU 95 – 87 QUC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | APSU 92 – 78 QUC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | QUC 67 – 60 APSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | APSU 79 – 76 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 7-10 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#132) | -7.0 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#89) | -1.08 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#120) | -1.11 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#95) | 0.490 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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