Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -27.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +31 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -28.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -26.7 (+4.3) | 150.0 (-1.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -26.3 (+4.7) | 149.6 (-0.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -23.7 (+7.3) | 150.0 (-1.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -25.9 (+5.1) | 149.6 (-0.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-19 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 9-8 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 15.0 (#9) | -9.1 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#71) | -2.59 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#69) | -3.29 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#68) | 0.350 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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