Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | LIU +275 WAG -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +8 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | WAG -9.1 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -10.2 (+2.2) | 134.4 (-4.4) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -10.9 (+2.9) | 134.1 (-4.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -10.4 (+2.4) | 136.7 (-6.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -9.0 (+1.0) | 135.5 (-5.5) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | LIU 64 – 56 WAG |
| Feb 17, 2026 | LIU 83 – 65 WAG |
| Feb 13, 2026 | LIU 67 – 57 WAG |
| Feb 28, 2025 | LIU 60 – 47 WAG |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LIU 60 – 47 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-26 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 8-8 |
| Home | 2-10 | 8-4 |
| Away | 1-14 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 62.3 |
| Massey | -19.6 (#362) | -5.7 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.32 (#358) | -0.30 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.57 (#359) | -0.91 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#321) | 0.477 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 24.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.0% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 39.1% |
Game Analysis
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