Betting Lines
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -225 ETSU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -9.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -6.3 (-8.3) | 136.5 (+7.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -7.5 (-9.5) | 133.2 (+10.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -6.6 (-8.6) | 139.2 (+4.8) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -6.4 (-8.4) | 138.2 (+5.8) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WOF 72 – 69 ETSU |
| Feb 2, 2026 | ETSU 86 – 72 WOF |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WOF 72 – 60 ETSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ETSU 73 – 68 WOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WOF 81 – 78 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#180) | -5.6 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#157) | -3.01 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#172) | -3.78 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#159) | 0.367 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.