Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -138 WRST +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +14 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -2.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -1.8 (+12.2) | 140.7 (+1.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -2.0 (+12.0) | 138.7 (+3.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -2.2 (+11.8) | 137.4 (+4.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -1.7 (+12.3) | 138.6 (+3.4) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | WRST 103 – 90 NKU |
| Mar 1, 2026 | WRST 92 – 91 NKU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WRST 88 – 80 NKU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NKU 80 – 76 WRST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WRST 78 – 70 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 78.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#250) | -2.3 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#210) | -0.59 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#203) | -0.70 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#219) | 0.450 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 13.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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