Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -1.5 Home covered |
| Money | OAK -110 MILW +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +22 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -4.3 (+26.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -2.8 (+24.8) | 151.7 (-7.7) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -2.4 (+24.4) | 152.3 (-8.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -6.3 (+28.3) | 151.5 (-7.5) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -4.1 (+26.1) | 152.4 (-8.4) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | OAK 81 – 70 MILW |
| Jan 16, 2026 | OAK 73 – 60 MILW |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OAK 72 – 64 MILW |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MILW 71 – 66 OAK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OAK 65 – 49 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#330) | -0.8 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#338) | 0.01 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.28 (#343) | -0.11 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#331) | 0.508 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 24.7% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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