Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | BU -133 NAVY +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +17 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | BU -2.0 (-19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -2.0 (-19.0) | 139.4 (-6.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -1.0 (-18.0) | 138.2 (-5.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -1.8 (-18.8) | 140.8 (-7.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -1.4 (-18.4) | 141.0 (-8.0) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | BU 73 – 72 NAVY |
| Jan 29, 2026 | NAVY 58 – 50 BU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | NAVY 82 – 77 BU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | NAVY 86 – 78 BU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | BU 87 – 65 NAVY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-11 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 65.3 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#220) | 0.4 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#232) | 0.32 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#254) | 0.05 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#226) | 0.524 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 12.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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