Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | BU +114 NAVY -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +8 | 108 | Lost |
| Massey | NAVY -2.7 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-38.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -3.6 (-4.4) | 137.4 (-29.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -4.2 (-3.8) | 139.7 (-31.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -3.8 (-4.2) | 140.8 (-32.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -4.4 (-3.6) | 139.2 (-31.2) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | BU 73 – 72 NAVY |
| Dec 31, 2025 | NAVY 82 – 77 BU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | NAVY 86 – 78 BU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | BU 87 – 65 NAVY |
| Jan 23, 2025 | NAVY 62 – 47 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 17-1 |
| Home | 10-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-12 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#273) | -1.3 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#321) | -0.20 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.52 (#326) | -0.57 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#331) | 0.485 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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