Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK -120 STMN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +8 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -6.8 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+28.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -6.6 (+14.6) | 145.4 (+30.6) | 32% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -5.5 (+13.5) | 141.6 (+34.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -6.9 (+14.9) | 147.1 (+28.9) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -7.3 (+15.3) | 147.6 (+28.4) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | STMN 90 – 78 SDAK |
| Jan 8, 2026 | STMN 99 – 86 SDAK |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SDAK 85 – 80 STMN |
| Jan 12, 2025 | STMN 119 – 104 SDAK |
| Feb 18, 2024 | STMN 83 – 80 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#333) | 1.3 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#262) | 0.55 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#284) | 0.33 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#269) | 0.489 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 40.1% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.