Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | GAST +230 JMU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GAST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +16 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -10.4 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-37.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -8.6 (-7.4) | 143.1 (-33.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -8.0 (-8.0) | 142.1 (-32.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -9.1 (-6.9) | 146.0 (-36.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -9.4 (-6.6) | 145.7 (-35.7) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | JMU 80 – 65 GAST |
| Feb 13, 2026 | JMU 81 – 79 GAST |
| Feb 21, 2025 | JMU 83 – 63 GAST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | JMU 86 – 79 GAST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | JMU 84 – 78 GAST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GAST | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-9 | 11-3 |
| Away | 0-11 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.1 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#252) | 10.8 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#265) | 0.38 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#256) | 0.67 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#283) | 0.498 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GAST | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.