Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU -400 UCSD +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +2 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -11.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+30.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -8.5 (-10.5) | 138.9 (+29.1) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -9.0 (-11.0) | 138.7 (+29.3) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -8.6 (-10.6) | 138.7 (+29.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -9.1 (-11.1) | 139.4 (+28.6) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCSD 77 – 74 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 74 LBSU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCSD 70 – 63 LBSU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 54 LBSU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | LBSU 85 – 76 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-5 | 4-10 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#156) | -6.2 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#174) | -0.92 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#154) | -1.33 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#174) | 0.449 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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