Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -2500 VAL +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -17.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -12.9 (-7.9) | 141.3 (-10.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -13.2 (-8.2) | 140.2 (-9.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -11.7 (-6.7) | 141.6 (-10.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -13.1 (-8.1) | 141.0 (-10.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | VAL 74 – 71 DRKE |
| Feb 10, 2026 | VAL 81 – 76 DRKE |
| Jan 23, 2025 | DRKE 81 – 71 VAL |
| Dec 6, 2024 | DRKE 66 – 60 VAL |
| Feb 1, 2024 | DRKE 81 – 70 VAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 5-15 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#113) | -8.8 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#65) | -1.09 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#79) | -1.83 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#49) | 0.403 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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