Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
Big Sky Conference · Dee Events Center · December 30, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WEB -3.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money WEB -163 / UNCO +163
Model Predictions
Spread Total WEB win
Actual WEB +9 153 Won
Massey WEB -6.0 (+3.0) — —
Massey Totals — 145.4 (+7.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 57% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 52% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WEB -3.2 (+5.8) 144.0 (+9.0) 67% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WEB -2.6 (+6.4) 141.9 (+11.1) 72% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WEB -3.8 (+5.2) 144.4 (+8.6) 66% ✓
Baseline ML WEB -3.5 (+5.5) 144.7 (+8.3) 67% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 UNCO 88 – 74 WEB
Jan 11, 2026 WEB 76 – 71 UNCO
Mar 9, 2025 UNCO 76 – 52 WEB
Mar 4, 2025 UNCO 68 – 63 WEB
Jan 3, 2025 UNCO 89 – 72 WEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WEB UNCO
Overall 18-15 12-20
Conference 12-6 6-12
Home 8-4 6-7
Away 8-8 3-12
Neutral 2-3 3-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 66.3 73.7
Avg Pts Against 67.9 77.7
Massey -1.9 (#213) -3.3 (#240)
Bradley-Terry -0.37 (#212) 0.19 (#162)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.55 (#216) 0.38 (#150)
RPI 0.479 (#215) 0.532 (#118)
Shooting & Four Factors WEB UNCO
FG% 42.0% 43.8%
3PT% 31.9% 37.7%
REB / G 29.2 31.4
OREB / G 6.2 7.0
AST / TO 0.77 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 52.3%
TOV% 20.7% 19.8%
ORB% 19.6% 21.9%
FT Rate 27.3% 27.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.0% 54.3%
Opp TOV% 19.3% 14.0%
DRB% 76.9% 68.5%
Opp FT Rate 22.8% 19.2%

Game Analysis

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