I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
Clemson Tigers
78 64
FINAL Conference
NC State Wolfpack
Atlantic Coast Conference · Littlejohn Coliseum · December 30, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CLEM -2.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money CLEM -150 / NCSU +115
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLEM win
Actual CLEM +14 142 Won
Massey CLEM -0.9 (+13.1)
Massey Totals 152.7 (-10.7)
Bradley-Terry 58%
Weighted B-T 61%
Efficiency Plus ML CLEM -2.5 (+11.5) 148.3 (-6.3) 63%
Baseline Tuned ML CLEM -2.4 (+11.6) 151.6 (-9.6) 60%
Baseline ML CLEM -2.6 (+11.4) 152.3 (-10.3) 61%
Baseline Plus ML CLEM -2.9 (+11.1) 151.9 (-9.9) 64%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 21, 2026 NCSU 8076 CLEM
Feb 1, 2025 CLEM 6858 NCSU
Feb 18, 2024 NCSU 7877 CLEM
Mar 10, 2023 CLEM 8054 NCSU
Feb 25, 2023 CLEM 9671 NCSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLEM NCSU
Overall 23-11 23-11
Conference 14-6 12-8
Home 15-2 15-2
Away 5-6 4-6
Neutral 3-3 4-3
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 74.7 77.7
Avg Pts Against 67.9 70.8
Massey 5.8 (#83) 9.5 (#53)
Bradley-Terry 1.11 (#90) 1.65 (#54)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.62 (#86) 2.18 (#57)
RPI 0.558 (#81) 0.559 (#79)
Shooting & Four Factors CLEM NCSU
FG% 47.6% 46.4%
3PT% 39.4% 35.9%
REB / G 34.1 37.9
OREB / G 7.5 11.5
AST / TO 1.43 1.34
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.3% 53.7%
TOV% 16.5% 15.8%
ORB% 24.2% 31.9%
FT Rate 24.2% 20.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.8% 48.5%
Opp TOV% 18.5% 21.1%
DRB% 76.5% 74.4%
Opp FT Rate 22.9% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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