Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
Clemson Tigers
76 80 OT
FINAL Conference
NC State Wolfpack
Atlantic Coast Conference · Littlejohn Coliseum · January 21, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread CLEM -2.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money CLEM -148 / NCSU +124
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLEM win
Actual NCSU +4 156 Lost
Massey CLEM -2.1 (-6.1)
Massey Totals 148.5 (+7.5)
Bradley-Terry 90%
Weighted B-T 90%
Efficiency Plus ML CLEM -6.1 (-10.1) 136.5 (+19.5) 75%
Baseline Tuned ML CLEM -3.4 (-7.4) 139.2 (+16.8) 71%
Baseline ML CLEM -3.1 (-7.1) 139.4 (+16.6) 69%
Baseline Plus ML CLEM -3.4 (-7.4) 140.8 (+15.2) 70%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2025 CLEM 6858 NCSU
Feb 18, 2024 NCSU 7877 CLEM
Mar 10, 2023 CLEM 8054 NCSU
Feb 25, 2023 CLEM 9671 NCSU
Dec 30, 2022 CLEM 7864 NCSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLEM NCSU
Overall 24-11 20-14
Conference 12-6 10-8
Home 13-3 11-6
Away 6-5 6-4
Neutral 5-3 3-4
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 73.8 83.2
Avg Pts Against 66.7 76.3
Massey 15.5 (#31) 16.7 (#27)
Bradley-Terry 3.18 (#19) 1.59 (#62)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.08 (#20) 2.45 (#56)
RPI 0.633 (#22) 0.565 (#71)
Shooting & Four Factors CLEM NCSU
FG% 46.4% 47.8%
3PT% 33.5% 39.8%
REB / G 36.7 36.4
OREB / G 10.3 10.1
AST / TO 1.43 1.70
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.4% 56.9%
TOV% 14.4% 13.9%
ORB% 30.6% 29.2%
FT Rate 27.8% 26.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.0% 51.0%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 20.3%
DRB% 74.8% 74.1%
Opp FT Rate 25.8% 27.3%

Game Analysis

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