Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM -148 NCSU +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -2.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -3.4 (-7.4) | 140.8 (+15.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -6.1 (-10.1) | 136.5 (+19.5) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -3.4 (-7.4) | 139.2 (+16.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -3.1 (-7.1) | 139.4 (+16.6) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2025 | CLEM 68 – 58 NCSU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | NCSU 78 – 77 CLEM |
| Mar 10, 2023 | CLEM 80 – 54 NCSU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | CLEM 96 – 71 NCSU |
| Dec 30, 2022 | CLEM 78 – 64 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 83.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 15.5 (#31) | 16.7 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#19) | 1.59 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.08 (#20) | 2.45 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#22) | 0.565 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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