But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Clemson Tigers
77 78
FINAL Conference
NC State Wolfpack
Atlantic Coast Conference · Littlejohn Coliseum · February 18, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CLEM -7.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money CLEM -350 / NCSU +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLEM win
Actual NCSU +1 155 Lost
Massey CLEM -9.2 (-10.2)
Massey Totals 149.9 (+5.1)
Bradley-Terry 85%
Weighted B-T 90%
Efficiency Plus ML CLEM -8.3 (-9.3) 144.1 (+10.9) 76%
Baseline Tuned ML CLEM -9.1 (-10.1) 146.7 (+8.3) 81%
Baseline ML CLEM -8.7 (-9.7) 146.0 (+9.0) 79%
Baseline Plus ML CLEM -9.5 (-10.5) 147.1 (+7.9) 78%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 21, 2026 NCSU 8076 CLEM
Feb 1, 2025 CLEM 6858 NCSU
Mar 10, 2023 CLEM 8054 NCSU
Feb 25, 2023 CLEM 9671 NCSU
Dec 30, 2022 CLEM 7864 NCSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLEM NCSU
Overall 24-12 26-15
Conference 11-9 9-11
Home 12-4 12-5
Away 6-6 4-7
Neutral 6-2 10-3
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.4 75.6
Avg Pts Against 71.2 71.8
Massey 13.2 (#27) 7.3 (#80)
Bradley-Terry 2.42 (#20) 1.36 (#75)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.16 (#15) 1.69 (#75)
RPI 0.614 (#19) 0.528 (#128)
Shooting & Four Factors CLEM NCSU
FG% 47.0% 44.0%
3PT% 35.8% 33.1%
REB / G 37.8 35.8
OREB / G 9.9 10.5
AST / TO 1.49 1.40
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.0% 49.7%
TOV% 15.0% 13.5%
ORB% 29.2% 27.6%
FT Rate 23.7% 21.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.6% 48.9%
Opp TOV% 13.9% 19.2%
DRB% 74.8% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 22.8% 25.7%

Game Analysis

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