Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | NCSU -275 CLEM +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +25 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | NCSU -7.7 (-32.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -7.1 (-32.1) | 150.7 (+16.3) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -5.5 (-30.5) | 148.4 (+18.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -7.0 (-32.0) | 150.3 (+16.7) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -6.7 (-31.7) | 151.3 (+15.7) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | NCSU 80 – 76 CLEM |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CLEM 68 – 58 NCSU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | NCSU 78 – 77 CLEM |
| Mar 10, 2023 | CLEM 80 – 54 NCSU |
| Dec 30, 2022 | CLEM 78 – 64 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#33) | 7.2 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#21) | 1.52 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#26) | 1.71 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#31) | 0.559 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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