Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -120 NCSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +26 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -2.3 (+28.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -1.5 (+27.5) | 149.2 (-15.2) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -1.9 (+27.9) | 145.5 (-11.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -1.0 (+27.0) | 149.0 (-15.0) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -1.1 (+27.1) | 150.9 (-16.9) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | NCSU 80 – 76 CLEM |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CLEM 68 – 58 NCSU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | NCSU 78 – 77 CLEM |
| Feb 25, 2023 | CLEM 96 – 71 NCSU |
| Dec 30, 2022 | CLEM 78 – 64 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#68) | 10.9 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#54) | 2.12 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#55) | 2.49 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#65) | 0.574 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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