And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Quinnipiac Bobcats
76 – 83
FINAL Conference
Siena Saints
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · December 30, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -3.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money QUIN -150 / SIE +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual SIE +7 159 Lost
Massey QUIN -6.8 (-13.8) — —
Massey Totals — 142.8 (+16.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 76% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 81% ✗
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -4.7 (-11.7) 138.3 (+20.7) 67% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -4.0 (-11.0) 136.0 (+23.0) 64% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -4.8 (-11.8) 141.0 (+18.0) 69% ✗
Baseline ML QUIN -4.7 (-11.7) 140.6 (+18.4) 66% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 QUIN 74 – 62 SIE
Feb 2, 2025 SIE 84 – 75 QUIN
Jan 11, 2025 QUIN 72 – 53 SIE
Mar 3, 2024 QUIN 71 – 57 SIE
Jan 20, 2024 QUIN 82 – 70 SIE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN SIE
Overall 20-12 17-15
Conference 11-9 11-9
Home 9-4 8-5
Away 9-6 7-8
Neutral 2-2 2-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 72.5 68.6
Avg Pts Against 69.8 67.2
Massey 1.3 (#149) -0.8 (#181)
Bradley-Terry 0.27 (#158) -0.01 (#182)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.41 (#144) -0.05 (#182)
RPI 0.485 (#209) 0.483 (#211)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN SIE
FG% 43.1% 45.4%
3PT% 35.0% 37.9%
REB / G 40.8 33.8
OREB / G 12.9 9.8
AST / TO 0.91 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.5% 51.9%
TOV% 19.5% 21.8%
ORB% 34.7% 31.0%
FT Rate 21.1% 27.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.1% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 18.4%
DRB% 74.6% 74.1%
Opp FT Rate 21.1% 23.1%

Game Analysis

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