Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | MONT -225 EWU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +7 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -8.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+27.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -6.2 (-13.2) | 139.6 (+27.4) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -3.0 (-10.0) | 137.8 (+29.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -5.3 (-12.3) | 143.4 (+23.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -5.6 (-12.6) | 141.4 (+25.6) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | EWU 82 – 74 MONT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EWU 66 – 65 MONT |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MONT 83 – 72 EWU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MONT 92 – 81 EWU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | EWU 89 – 79 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 16-2 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-9 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#144) | -1.8 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#170) | -0.78 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#167) | -0.98 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#163) | 0.451 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.7% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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