Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -167 SF +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -3.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -2.1 (+9.9) | 145.6 (+0.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -2.1 (+9.9) | 148.2 (-2.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -2.2 (+9.8) | 147.3 (-1.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -2.4 (+9.6) | 146.0 (-0.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SCU 94 – 73 SF |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SCU 88 – 73 SF |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SCU 77 – 54 SF |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SF 97 – 94 SCU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | SCU 69 – 62 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 7-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 6-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#108) | 5.4 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#63) | 1.29 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#64) | 1.81 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#53) | 0.531 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.7% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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