Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | HART +350 MORG -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +7 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | MORG -13.7 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -8.4 (+1.4) | 133.3 (-18.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -9.7 (+2.7) | 133.0 (-18.0) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -9.2 (+2.2) | 136.3 (-21.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -8.4 (+1.4) | 135.0 (-20.0) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2023 | MORG 92 – 84 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-23 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 7-7 |
| Home | 5-10 | 10-2 |
| Away | 0-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.7 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -21.5 (#363) | -3.1 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.53 (#358) | -0.74 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.37 (#357) | -2.11 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.323 (#361) | 0.482 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 59.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 33.7% |
Game Analysis
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