Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MORG -900 HART +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +8 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | MORG -21.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+41.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -16.1 (-8.1) | 142.3 (+33.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -14.3 (-6.3) | 141.6 (+34.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -16.0 (-8.0) | 142.0 (+34.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -16.4 (-8.4) | 143.2 (+32.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2022 | MORG 61 – 54 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORG | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 5-23 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 0-0 |
| Home | 10-2 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-12 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#230) | -20.5 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#188) | -3.62 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#219) | -4.40 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#164) | 0.341 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORG | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 61.6% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.0% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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