Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -2000 VMI +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +23 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -14.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -10.4 (+12.6) | 150.4 (-3.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -10.7 (+12.3) | 146.6 (+0.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -10.3 (+12.7) | 152.7 (-5.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -10.9 (+12.1) | 154.5 (-7.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | FUR 90 – 72 VMI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | FUR 69 – 48 VMI |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FUR 75 – 71 VMI |
| Jan 22, 2025 | VMI 91 – 82 FUR |
| Feb 15, 2024 | FUR 75 – 62 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 2-16 |
| Home | 14-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 8-3 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#142) | -7.9 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#134) | -1.40 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#140) | -1.70 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#123) | 0.419 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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