Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | OMA +700 ORU -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +3 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -11.7 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+26.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -11.6 (+8.6) | 150.6 (+30.4) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -9.9 (+6.9) | 155.5 (+25.5) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -11.0 (+8.0) | 152.4 (+28.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -10.6 (+7.6) | 151.8 (+29.2) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | OMA 80 – 71 ORU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OMA 73 – 62 ORU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OMA 80 – 57 ORU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | OMA 84 – 76 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | OMA 71 – 70 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 18-0 |
| Home | 5-7 | 16-0 |
| Away | 1-15 | 11-4 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#281) | 10.4 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#224) | 1.61 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#225) | 2.31 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#189) | 0.595 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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