Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | CIN -225 TULN +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +11 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -9.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -7.2 (+3.8) | 153.1 (+11.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -7.0 (+4.0) | 152.0 (+13.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -7.7 (+3.3) | 151.2 (+13.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -7.5 (+3.5) | 152.2 (+12.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2023 | TULN 101 – 94 CIN |
| Jan 2, 2022 | TULN 68 – 60 CIN |
| Feb 26, 2021 | CIN 91 – 71 TULN |
| Feb 7, 2021 | CIN 64 – 61 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 16-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#79) | 1.7 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#133) | -0.18 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#133) | -0.30 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#143) | 0.485 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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