Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +8 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -13.2 (-21.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -12.3 (-20.3) | 141.6 (-13.6) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -10.9 (-18.9) | 140.8 (-12.8) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -11.7 (-19.7) | 139.5 (-11.5) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -11.6 (-19.6) | 141.1 (-13.1) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2023 | TULN 101 – 94 CIN |
| Dec 30, 2022 | CIN 88 – 77 TULN |
| Feb 26, 2021 | CIN 91 – 71 TULN |
| Feb 7, 2021 | CIN 64 – 61 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 14-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#62) | -0.5 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#74) | -0.72 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#62) | -1.25 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#118) | 0.423 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.1% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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