Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | TULN -125 CIN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +7 | 195 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -0.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (+39.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -1.3 (+5.7) | 157.6 (+37.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -1.4 (+5.6) | 154.7 (+40.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -1.3 (+5.7) | 154.4 (+40.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -1.4 (+5.6) | 155.6 (+39.4) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2022 | CIN 88 – 77 TULN |
| Jan 2, 2022 | TULN 68 – 60 CIN |
| Feb 26, 2021 | CIN 91 – 71 TULN |
| Feb 7, 2021 | CIN 64 – 61 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-3 | 16-3 |
| Away | 5-4 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#86) | 9.2 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#81) | 1.02 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#87) | 1.29 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#93) | 0.544 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 18.8% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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