Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | CIN -275 TULN +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +20 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -4.1 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+31.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -4.0 (+16.0) | 134.5 (+27.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -3.2 (+16.8) | 133.4 (+28.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -4.3 (+15.7) | 131.0 (+31.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -4.9 (+15.1) | 131.8 (+30.2) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2023 | TULN 101 – 94 CIN |
| Dec 30, 2022 | CIN 88 – 77 TULN |
| Jan 2, 2022 | TULN 68 – 60 CIN |
| Feb 7, 2021 | CIN 64 – 61 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-11 | 10-13 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 4-12 |
| Home | 5-5 | 6-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#132) | 0.7 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#81) | 0.40 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#92) | 0.73 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#70) | 0.470 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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