Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | TULN +230 CIN -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +3 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -1.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -0.8 (-3.8) | 136.1 (-11.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -0.4 (-3.4) | 134.1 (-9.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -0.4 (-3.4) | 135.9 (-10.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -0.1 (-3.1) | 135.5 (-10.5) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2023 | TULN 101 – 94 CIN |
| Dec 30, 2022 | CIN 88 – 77 TULN |
| Jan 2, 2022 | TULN 68 – 60 CIN |
| Feb 26, 2021 | CIN 91 – 71 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-13 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 8-6 |
| Home | 6-6 | 5-5 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#174) | 3.6 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#138) | 0.73 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#128) | 1.07 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#209) | 0.520 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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